Futures Trading Win and Lose
Futures trading -- win and lose -- is usually a matter of doing your
homework. This homework can either be technical or fundamental in nature. Technical means such things as
chart reading, moving average crossovers and oversold/overbought situations. Fundamental can be a crop
report, supply inventory reports or the current weather predictions. In either case,
the better the information, the better the chances of winning on a specific
trade.
Many futures traders are advocates of technical trading as these trades are of a short duration. Short time in
the trade compared to a stock trade. Fundamental trading is the long-term outlook for the price of the commodity.
The grain markets are likely to see this during a crop year as the reports begin to suggest there will be a bumper
crop or a shortfall crop.
In futures trading you can win or lose based on their ability to analyze the facts and come up with the right
answer. They also have to be aware they may be early in a correct assessment and be forced to get out of trade that
goes in the wrong direction temporarily. The one rule that should be followed at all times is you do not fight the
market. Take small losses quickly and wait for a better time to enter the trade. Patience is a determining factor
in winning and losing.
Do not let stubbornness ruin the chances for success. To be good at futures trading you need to be humble and be
quick to admit you are on the wrong side of a trade. A three-cent loss on a grain contract is only $150. A 25-cent
win is $1250 per contract. Moves of this size or larger happen every trading year. Be smart about losses and never
fall in love with a trade so you can be as successful as possible in futures trading.
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